Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.158166 0.185246 0.215050 0.250215 0.290498 0.335125 0.388229
2025-10-26 0.111606 0.147640 0.191704 0.249202 0.321858 0.410191 0.525239
2025-11-02 0.086366 0.125186 0.176515 0.248594 0.346299 0.473105 0.648910
2025-11-09 0.068690 0.107603 0.162553 0.244560 0.362296 0.523376 0.758113
2025-11-16 0.055836 0.093770 0.150563 0.239977 0.374906 0.568059 0.861720
2025-11-23 0.045173 0.080990 0.137615 0.231272 0.379180 0.599752 0.948079
2025-11-30 0.041313 0.078269 0.139425 0.244801 0.417558 0.683920 1.117688
2025-12-07 0.034482 0.069221 0.129512 0.237887 0.422499 0.716958 1.211607
2025-12-14 0.028859 0.061278 0.120179 0.230419 0.425139 0.745772 1.300226
2025-12-21 0.024574 0.055057 0.112903 0.225366 0.430855 0.779370 1.398366
2025-12-28 0.022125 0.052020 0.111001 0.229601 0.452865 0.841443 1.547840
2026-01-04 0.020380 0.050130 0.110986 0.237226 0.481464 0.916689 1.724774
2026-01-11 0.018419 0.047511 0.109322 0.241765 0.505359 0.986605 1.899674
2026-01-18 0.016457 0.044554 0.106579 0.243878 0.524954 1.050610 2.069458
2026-01-25 0.014563 0.041384 0.102896 0.243508 0.539464 1.106114 2.227475
2026-02-01 0.012673 0.037845 0.097856 0.239566 0.546244 1.147357 2.361719
2026-02-08 0.011014 0.034556 0.092877 0.235068 0.551265 1.185325 2.492082
2026-02-15 0.009357 0.030914 0.086489 0.226524 0.546726 1.203918 2.586090
2026-02-22 0.009054 0.031042 0.089366 0.239804 0.590621 1.322502 2.883753
2026-03-01 0.007807 0.028127 0.084105 0.233017 0.589366 1.348831 2.999172
2026-03-08 0.006708 0.025406 0.078909 0.225688 0.586037 1.370373 3.106009
2026-03-15 0.005847 0.023244 0.074872 0.220728 0.587616 1.402227 3.235936
2026-03-22 0.005409 0.022398 0.074381 0.224885 0.611171 1.483066 3.473553